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	<title>Penny Sleuth &#187; risky investing</title>
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		<title>Investing with a 7-2 Off Suit</title>
		<link>http://pennysleuth.com/investing-with-a-7-2-off-suit/</link>
		<comments>http://pennysleuth.com/investing-with-a-7-2-off-suit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2007 15:54:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Nelson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risky investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unstable market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://agoratestsite.com/wordpresspenny/?p=107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When the market hand us a 7-2 off suit, we have to make the best of it. Sometimes it’s hard to figure out how to protect yourself in a shaky market, but there are a few ways to make it out alive. Using a simple screen, you can find some pretty safe bets. You may [...]<p><a href="http://pennysleuth.com/investing-with-a-7-2-off-suit/">Investing with a 7-2 Off Suit</a> was originally featured in the <a href="http://pennysleuth.com">Penny Sleuth</a>. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="Normal"><a href="http://agoratestsite.com/wordpresspenny/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/091207sleuth14.png"></a><a href="http://agoratestsite.com/wordpresspenny/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/091207sleuth2.png"></a>When the market hand us a 7-2 off suit, we have to make the best of it. Sometimes it’s hard to figure out how to protect yourself in a shaky market, but there are a few ways to make it out alive. Using a simple screen, you can find some pretty safe bets. You may think that to play it safe you can’t make money… But that’s not true, as you’ll see.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Here at <em>Penny Sleuth</em>, we sometimes lean toward the more risky investments because of the better payoff, but that’s not always the case. We like solid companies, with strong balance sheets and considerable growth. In times of market turmoil, that’s exactly what you should look for, too.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">There are a few criteria that we look for to get us through tough times in the market. The first thing we have to look at is how well the company is growing. I like to use a hearty 25% revenue growth rate to make sure the company is still in the high growth stage we like.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The second thing to look for is the balance sheet. To make sure the company is in a financially healthy position, I always consider the debt-to-equity ratio. Here I want to have less than half the debt to the shareholders’ equity.</span></p>
<p><em></em></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Finally, just like any investor or mutual fund, it’s sometimes smart to have a larger portion of your investment capital in cash. Regular companies are no different. If the market is acting up, it might be smart to wait for the bottom before reinvesting that capital in investments or even acquisitions. So here, I look for a cash position to be 50% of the company’s total assets.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">With these three criteria we get a small-cap screen that looks like this:</span></p>
<p align="center"><a class="flickr-image" title="php9C1iTS" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28114165@N06/3093302318/"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3246/3093302318_17edb1a9a3_o.png" alt="php9C1iTS" /></a></p>
<p><span class="Normal">I ran this screen just to see what would come up, and I wasn’t surprised. Of the 30 stocks that came up, many had done very well in the past three months, when everything else seemed to tank.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Three names stuck out to me from the list: <strong>Life Partners Holdings Inc. (LPHI: NASDAQ), AspenBio Pharma Inc. (APPY: NASDAQ), Basin Water Inc. (BWTR: NASDAQ).</strong></span></p>
<p align="center"><a class="flickr-image" title="phps1K0nZ" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28114165@N06/3093302558/"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3096/3093302558_7290a608c1_o.png" alt="phps1K0nZ" /></a></p>
<p><span class="Normal">I had recently seen Life Partners on a list of market performers, and sure enough in the past three months it had rocketed up 95%. Life Partners isn’t what you probably think it is. It’s a financial services and life insurance company, which I tend to shy away from because of the risks associated with it. This one specializes in life insurance policies for the terminally ill and the elderly, which can be a pretty risky play. However, this one seems to be doing just fine.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The second one, AspenBio, is a biotech company with their entire product pipeline in the development stages. Fortunately, the stock just got a boost by jumping from the Bulletin Board to the Nasdaq Capital Markets Exchange last month. This shot investors’ shares up 15% in a week.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The third company that matched our screen was one called Basin Water. It is a water treatment company in the right place at the right time. With the water concerns we have here in this country (and everywhere else in the world, for that matter), this well-water-treatment company has made its mark at just the right time, gaining 68% return over the last three months.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The point being, no matter what the market throws at us, we just have to be prepared with a backup plan. The market may take a little bit to turn around. That’s okay, though. As long as a company has a strong balance sheet and some top-line growth, it should be all right. It might even make you a buck or two.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">So the next time you hear someone complaining about the stock market, you can say “No sweat… I got this one.”</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Sincerely,<br />
Jim Nelson<br />
<em>September 12, 2007</em></span></p>
<p><span class="Normal"><strong>P.S.:</strong> Fellow Agorian Chris Mayer looks for similar things. He is the best at finding companies with superb balance sheets. Many times he finds hidden assets that aren’t valued into the company’s share price and exploits it. He does this better than anyone I know. In fact, he just gave his <em>Capital &amp; Crisis</em> readers a <strong><em>230% gain</em></strong> that he closed out yesterday. </span></p>
<p><a href="http://pennysleuth.com/investing-with-a-7-2-off-suit/">Investing with a 7-2 Off Suit</a> was originally featured in the <a href="http://pennysleuth.com">Penny Sleuth</a>. </p>
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