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	<title>Penny Sleuth &#187; Fed cutting rates</title>
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	<link>http://pennysleuth.com</link>
	<description>Penny stocks, small-cap stocks, pink sheet stocks and OTCBB coverage by unbiased and independent analysts.</description>
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		<title>S&amp;P Woes</title>
		<link>http://pennysleuth.com/sp-woes/</link>
		<comments>http://pennysleuth.com/sp-woes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2007 19:04:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Christopher Hancock</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[depreciation of dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed cutting rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://agoratestsite.com/wordpresspenny/?p=189</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Halloween came. Bernanke cut rates. Markets responded. The world’s “benchmark” index fell off the cliff. The S&#38;P has fallen 6.2% in less than two weeks: Consequently, stock returns look more like bond returns. The S&#38;P limps along at 4.51% year to date. In euro terms, the world’s “benchmark” bleeds red. Returns are down 6.18% on [...]<p><a href="http://pennysleuth.com/sp-woes/">S&#38;P Woes</a> was originally featured in the <a href="http://pennysleuth.com">Penny Sleuth</a>. </p>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="Normal"> Halloween came. Bernanke cut rates. Markets responded.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The world’s “benchmark” index fell off the cliff. The S&amp;P has fallen 6.2% in less than two weeks:</span></p>
<p align="center"><span class="Normal"><span class="Normal"><a class="flickr-image" title="SPX Index for Nov. 9, 2007" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28114165@N06/2647232404/"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3110/2647232404_ca8f5222f8.jpg" alt="SPX Index for Nov. 9, 2007" /></a></span> </span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Consequently, stock returns look more like bond returns. The S&amp;P limps along at 4.51% year to date. In euro terms, the world’s “benchmark” bleeds red. Returns are down 6.18% on the year.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Foreigners aren’t stupid. Lower rates mean more dollars. More dollars mean more depreciation.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Since the Fed cut the discount interest rate on Aug. 17, the <a title="dollar decline" href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com/rpt/DollarDecline.html" target="_blank">dollar index</a> has lost over six points. At some point, you’d expect to see a healthy contrarian rally…but there’s nothing stopping this cliff dive:</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><span class="Normal"><a class="flickr-image" title="Demise of the Dollar" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28114165@N06/2646403255/"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3256/2646403255_f5182eb0f9.jpg" alt="Demise of the Dollar" /></a> </span></p>
<p align="center">
<p><span class="Normal">Now everyone from supermodels to Arab construction workers want nothing more to do with Uncle Sam’s ultimate promise. And why should you?</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">That’s one of the principal reasons we espouse companies that derive a majority of their earnings in foreign currencies.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Take a look at the 10-year returns on the 20 most established world markets in dollar terms:</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><span class="Normal"><a class="flickr-image" title="10-Year Returns" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/28114165@N06/2647235626/"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3288/2647235626_81f2585095.jpg" alt="10-Year Returns" /></a> </span></p>
<p align="center">
<p><span class="Normal">A simple $10,000 investment in the S&amp;P in 1996 would be worth $15,769.11 today. That same $10,000 invested in Finland would be worth $48,688.11.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Meaning by focusing just on the U.S. and U.S. exchanges, we’re limiting ourselves to less than 50% of the investing opportunities in the world.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Meanwhile, our friends in Germany, Hong Kong and Singapore are getting ahead. And they’re achieving this feat at your expense.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">But the CNBC crowd seemingly couldn’t care less. Larry Kudlow points out that solid third-quarter GDP growth here at home adds another chapter to the greatest story never told. Growth relative to what, we ask?</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Regardless, we harbor no ill will toward Mr. Kudlow or CNBC. In many respects, we agree. The greatest story isn’t being told…</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">The emerging markets around the Pacific Rim accounted for more than half world GDP last year alone. They now churn out 43% of the world’s exports and hold roughly 70% of the world’s foreign exchange reserves.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">And while real wages in the developed West are either flat or falling, wages among the up-and-coming nations of Southeast Asia continue growing.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">In our opinion, that’s the greatest story never told. </span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">So as we said last week…the next time your broker assures you he can beat the S&amp;P, you may want to listen. It shouldn’t be that hard. The trick: Buy just about any other developed market index but the S&amp;P.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Until next time,<br />
Christopher Hancock<br />
<em>November 9, 2007</em></span></p>
<p><span class="Normal"><strong>P.S.:</strong> There is one market that is set to outperform the rest, especially one industry. If you can imagine over 1,000 skyscrapers going up in just one city by 2011, then you can certainly picture someone making big money on it…</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Well, there is one steel producer that is set to skyrocket soon. It’s been called the “World’s Greatest Growth Stock.”</span></p>
<p><a href="http://pennysleuth.com/sp-woes/">S&#38;P Woes</a> was originally featured in the <a href="http://pennysleuth.com">Penny Sleuth</a>. </p>
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