Controversial Small-Cap Stocks Gunner’s Note: Today we hear from our friend Ian Cooper. Last month, he wrote about a budding shoe company called Crocs Inc. (CROX: NASDAQ). This week, he has another interesting company for you -- a controversial video game manufacturer. As it turns out, a lot of parents are already up in arms over a video game that hasn’t even hit the shelves yet. Read on to see how you could profit from the hype... The Sleuth How to Profit from Controversy By Ian Cooper September 12, 2006
When the word “controversy” is raised among gaming circles, this controversial company’s name can’t be too far behind. It’s still months away from releasing the next installment of the most controversial and intense releases to legions of fans, but already the anticipation is mounting, and the parental groups are lining up to protest, indirectly promoting the latest game.
And it doesn’t hurt that a multi-billionaire corporate raider just bought 800,000 shares. By October 17, 2006, shares of one beaten down software-company are likely to come back with a vengeance when its parent-scaring subsidiary releases its long-awaited software. When it released its controversial Grand Theft Auto game in 2001, the stock ran from $4 to $10; in 2002, it ran from $22 to $23.50; in 2004, it ran from $16 to $21; and in 2005, it ran from $18 to about $22 in a month’s time. ************************************ On June 30, 2006, at 11:41 AM EST, a one-page news release from a small Texas company put the oil industry on notice. That bunch of good `ol boys let it fly that they teamed up with China’s $23-billion oil monopoly. THEIR MISSION: dominate the #1 supply chain in the next 40-year oil boom. Invest in this Texas company today and you can crush the S&P 500 by 403% over the next 4 months -- turning your $5,000 can multiply into $208,000 by yearend -- guaranteed. ************************************ But come October 17, 2006, RockStar Games’ Bully will be released, and could help refill the gaping bearish gap left at $16 -- a possible 45% short-term return for patient shareholders. Is Any Publicity Good Publicity? If you’re Mel Gibson...uh, no. But look at what negative publicity can do to video game sales: -- Grand Theft Auto III sold 11 million games annually. -- Grand Theft Auto: Vice City sold 13 million annually. -- Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (GTA: SA) was just as successful, selling 12 million copies in its first year out. At $50 per game, GTA: SA did $600 million in revenue in year one. In fact, sales of this one game were so big that Take-Two Interactive even announced that it was a significant contributor to Q1 2005 numbers. Net sales for that quarter were $502 million, a 34% jump in a year. Net income was up 74% in a year. RockStar Games, known for its violent, controversial and very popular Grand Theft Auto games, is unveiling Bully just in time for the Holiday shopping season. The best part -- the game isn’t out until October 2006 and already parental and anti-gaming groups are out in full force. But I say bring it on. It’ll only raise awareness for the game among millions of gaming fans, and bring in mega-sales for Take-Two’s subsidiary. In March, for example, the Florida Miami-Dade County School Board asked retailers not to sell the game to minors and asked the schools to warn parents about harmful effects of playing violent video games. Even better, the end of this year is going to be one of the biggest seasons for those in the video game racket. When Sony releases its PlayStation 3 and Nintendo starts shipping the Wii, video game sales will go through the roof. ************************************ The Only 5 Investments You Should Own Over the Next 12 Months... Each of these investments you'll read about is practically automatic -- all you have to do is pick up the phone and make a call. And one is a very simple, but powerful hedge against a collapsing stock market. The payoff should be huge -- about 600% over the next 9-12 months. Read on to learn more... ************************************ I love the Grand Theft Auto games. In fact, I’m one of millions that can’t wait for Bully to hit the shelves, and wouldn’t have heard about it if it weren’t for those groups and the media, which have a tendency to blow things way out of control. But just why are people up in arms about a game? Understandably, many are upset because they fear another Columbine-type situation. You see, the game’s main character is a 15-year-old boy who has to defend himself against school bullies at a fictional boarding school in the United States while dealing with nerds, jocks, and authoritarians with weapons including baseball bats, stink bombs, and bags of marbles. According to the New York Times, “Anti-game activists claimed that it would encourage players to become bullies themselves. Even some executives at other game companies feared that ‘Bully,’ coming from Rockstar, a company that has long been a lightning rod for politicians and others fearful of video games, would drag the entire industry into yet another quagmire of criticism.” Following the Billionaire’s Lead Billionaires aren’t dumb investors. If they were, they wouldn’t be billionaires. Take Carl Icahn, for example. Here’s a rich guy known for buying up shares in companies and then pushing for major changes that may affect the company very positively. In recent quarters, he’s bought shares of Symantec and Cigna...and now, Take-Two Interactive (TTWO:NASDAQ). According to an SEC filing, Icahn now owns a 1.1% stake in Take-Two. It’s unknown how he plans to positively affect the company after it’s recent legal issues, SEC and FTC investigations, and a Grand Jury investigation -- all of which are priced into the stock. His piece of the Take-Two pie does mean he’ll make his presence known at shareholder meetings. We can assume he has a plan for where he’d like to take Take-Two. There you have it. Two great reasons to be ultra-bullish on Take-Two shares: the October 2006 release of “Bully” and a multi-billionaire’s purchase of 800,000 shares. Plus, as of late-July 2006, more than 44% of the 72 million share-float was short. Shorts covering en masse come holiday shopping season could send the stock screaming much higher. Take care, Ian Cooper P.S.: Be sure to ride the commodities boom in style during the fall stock market slump. Kevin Kerr just closed another successful commodities play. This time, it was orange juice futures that gave his readers a potential 110% gain. Find out how you can become one of Kevin’s few readers that have seen 100%+ gains EIGHT TIMES in 2006.
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