Africa’s Investment Possibilities: Investing Where No One Else Will
Jan 13th, 2006 | By Penny Sleuth Contributor | Category: International, Investing StrategiesSala Kannan, following the strategies of maverick investor Mark Mobius, examines Africa’s Investment Possibilities and finds a lot worth taking a closer look at.
Mark Mobius is a true investment maverick. He manages $22 billion at Franklin Templeton Investments, he has a Ph.D. from MIT and is a globetrotting investment hunter. He could be in Estonia one day, interviewing technology companies, and in China the next day to check out a steel plant. Mobius doesn’t own a house because he is “on the field” all the time — he travels the world almost 365 days a year and combats constant jet lag with melatonin tablets.
All that traveling and stock-scouting has paid handsomely for investors of the Templeton Developing Markets Fund. Since 2002, the fund returned a cool 149%. How does Mobius achieve such fabulous gains for his investors? By putting their money where no one else will.
Let me explain…
Mobius likes to invest in countries and regions nobody else is looking at. “I don’t pay all that much attention to hot stocks, or hot markets, preferring to leave them to the hotshots,” he said.
So in 1998, when the Russian stock market lost 50%, making it the worst performing stock market in the world, and when the neighboring Baltic markets took a beating as a result, Mobius plunged right in. And that investment alone would have yielded 333.4% gains today. And that is the power of investing where nobody else will.
Africa’s Investment Possibilities: Africa’s Potential
Inspired by Mobius’ philosophy and market-crushing returns, I set out to find similar investments. I wanted to find undiscovered countries and regions with tremendous growth potential.
And that’s what led me to Ambassador Joseph Huggins — former U.S. Ambassador to Botswana and senior advisor at the Corporate Council on Africa. After a few e-mails, I set up an appointment to meet him. I parked a few blocks from his 17th Street office in Washington, D.C., and walked in. As I took the elevator to the 11th floor, three men in expensive suits ran in.
“It’s a fabulous, fabulous property. I’m sure you’ll love it,” said one of the men to the others. He was a real estate agent. And his sales pitch seemed to be working. The other two men furiously nodded in agreement when the agent proclaimed that real estate in the United States was one of the “fastest-growing investments anywhere in the world.” The elevator stopped on the sixth floor. “This way please,” said the real estate agent, leading his clients out of the elevator rather ceremoniously.
Interestingly, I was about to find out about a truly fast-growing AND undiscovered investment from one of the wisest men in America’s Foreign Service. And he had nothing to sell me.
The Corporate Council on Africa office seemed like a whole different world. A beautiful Ethiopian woman greeted me and I sat down in front of a coffee table piled with books about Angola, Morocco and other exotic lands. To the side was a curious little artifact — a little wooden zebra drinking from what looked like a coconut shell.
As I was taking in the mysterious art in the office, Ambassador Huggins walked in. There was a Yoda-like wisdom about him — calm, collected and reassuring. And smart, he was.
Having served in several African embassies, he spoke with an intense and genuine passion for the region. He told me about coal bed methane discoveries in the desert, a thriving beef export industry, telecom and many other opportunities in Africa.
Africa’s Investment Possibilities: Facts about Africa Nobody Knows
Just consider this:
- The Ghana Stock Exchange is one of the world’s highest performing stock markets. The market raked in nearly 154% gains in the last two years alone. And in 2003, it was THE highest performing market
- According to The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), since 1990, the rate of return in Africa has averaged 29%. Since 1991, it has been higher than in any other region, including developed countries as a group, and in many years by a factor of 2 or more
- Botswana has an A+ sovereign credit rating (compared with China’s A-) and one of the highest per capita government savings rates in the world
- Africa has nearly half the entire world’s diamonds
- South Africa is home to 50% of all the gold in the world.
While the mainstream media focuses only on Africa’s virulent AIDS epidemic, poverty and civil wars, many countries in the continent are attaining record growth and spectacular stock market returns. And NOBODY knows.
This is great news for you as a small cap investor. Because tiny, emerging market stocks behave exactly like small cap stocks! They experience greater momentum and higher returns compared to their larger counterparts.
So, following in the footsteps of Mark Mobius, I intend to uncover Africa’s investment opportunities. I’m headed to Africa in a week and will be meeting with finance ministers and central bank governors, and I’ll be attending a metals and mining conference in Cape Town.
I’m sure to come back with some fresh and unique investment ideas. And I will be telling you how you can safely make Mobius-like returns, so watch this space.
Regards,
Sala Kannan
January 13, 2008
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