A Lesson from 1930: Avoid the Second Collapse with This 6.9% Brazilian Yield

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Nov 19th, 2009 | By | Category: Featured, International, Macroeconomics
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The name Richard Norris Williams II might not ring a bell to you. But in the 1920s, everyone knew who he was.

In 1912, 21-year-old Williams gained fame as a survivor of the sinking of the RMS Titanic.

Later that year, he went on to earn his first U.S. mixed tennis championship.

Now a member of the International Tennis Hall of Fame, there wasn’t much Williams didn’t win.

He was a 1924 Olympic gold medalist, Wimbledon champion and a five-time U.S. tennis champion.

On top of all his accomplishments, he was also a highly successful investment broker. Unfortunately for Williams, that was also his unraveling.

He became a partner in an investment firm called C. Clothier Jones & Co. in 1929. His business partners in the small $5 million firm ($61.5 million today) were some of the brightest, most successful investors in the world.

Of course, after the stock market hit the skids in 1929, the company took a hit. But thanks to the rally in first half of 1930, C. Clothier Jones & Co. was in better shape than ever.

He was on top of the world in the spring of 1930. But just like the year before, market speculators pushed stocks higher than they were worth. By late summer, the rally turned into another massive sell-off.

When October came around, Williams and his partners were doing everything they could to stay in business. Their investments turned to dust, and they were so incredibly overleveraged the only course for them was to fudge some numbers and blatantly lie to shareholders.

Williams left the country in mid-October to get married in Europe. By the time he returned, he was a wanted man, for market manipulation. Four of his colleagues and large investors in the company had ended their own lives in that single week.

We are facing another summer of 1930. The rally that started in March of this year is eerily similar to what made Williams and his partners look like kings of investing.

Luckily, you don’t have to end up like them when the house of cards falls again…

Take Advantage of the Global Edge

We’re fortunate to have history lessons when trying to figure out the market. But there are certain aspects of today’s market that just weren’t there in 1930.

Some, like trade imbalances and foreign lending, make today’s global economy a scarier environment. Others, like emerging economies, give us a serious advantage over our forefathers.

Even if the average investor of 1930 were aware of a possible second downturn, his options would be incredibly limited. Only a millionaire in 1930 could invest in other, safer economies. Of course, even that would’ve been difficult, since those were so few and far between.

Today, it’s as effortless as buying an ADR through your online broker. But as last time, figuring out which ones to buy is no easy task.

I ramped up my Lifetime Income Report portfolio to reflect my favorites: Asia, Africa and Latin America. Every single one is showing strong double-digit gains and safe, growing dividends. And I expect them all to thrive even if this is another 1930…

I just added another international giant in my absolute favorite country, and it’s set to do even better. To learn more, just click here…

Sincerely,
Jim Nelson

November 19, 2009


Author Image for Jim Nelson

Jim Nelson

Jim Nelson began his investing career during the tech boom at age 14 – with purchases of Starbucks and AOL. Early inspiration came from an old Tweedy Brown whitepaper: “What Works in the Market.” He graduated with a degree in Political Science from Pittsburgh University, Nelson focuses on income investing, including dividends, covered calls, and fixed-income. Additionally, he covers MLPs, ADRs, utilities, consumer staples and tobacco. Nelson is the managing editor of Lifetime Income Report.

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